%0 Journal Article %T La Impredicibilidad del Mercado Cambiario en Colombia: ¿Es posible obtener beneficios de ello? %D 2010 %U http://hdl.handle.net/10906/65240 %X The research focuses on the test and use of a tool that allows the investor to operate dollar forward market in Colombia in an efficient and safe way. It defines a series of factors which are related to the behavior or tendency that these types of financial instruments follow, taking historical observations of the currency as guides for the study. The investigation uses a risk versus profitability analysis with the aim of showing the correct action to take by the investor, in agreement with a specific situation in the market. Finally, it mentions and explains the problems that occur at the time to predict the market’s tendency, suggesting statistic methods to deal with those complications. %K Arbitraje %K Tipo de cambio %K Tasa forward %K Arbitrage %K Economía %K Economics %K Dollar %K Mercado cambiario %K Mercado de divisas - Colombia %~ GOEDOC, SUB GOETTINGEN